Yields on 3-month Treasury bills. As money rushes in, the yield goes down. Lower yields signify lack of confidence in the credit market -- investors are looking for ultra-safe places to put their money.
The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR). This is the amount banks charge each other for loans. A higher LIBOR signifies that banks perceive risk in these loans.
The "TED spread," or the difference between the 3-month T-bill rate and the 3-month dollar LIBOR. A rise on the TED spread signifies lack of confidence.
Of concern to McCain's campaign, however, is a remaining and still-undisclosed clip from Palin's interview with Couric last week that has the political world buzzing.
The Palin aide, after first noting how "infuriating" it was for CBS to purportedly leak word about the gaffe, revealed that it came in response to a question about Supreme Court decisions.
After noting Roe vs. Wade, Palin was apparently unable to discuss any major court cases.
There was no verbal fumbling with this particular question as there was with some others, the aide said, but rather silence.
Is here. Painted in Chicago by Bruce Elliot, with (disturbingly?) his daughter as the model.
FTA:
"I've been following her religiously," he said Monday at the bar. "I had never heard of her before, like everyone else. I find her bizarrely fascinating, even though I pretty much despise everything she stands for."
Despite their political differences, Elliott admits to a bit of a crush on the Alaska governor. He began painting her smile and trademark glasses, he said, before filling in the details: a gun, red high heels, polar bear rug, rugged Alaska landscape and a scared moose. His daughter, who looks a little like Palin and does a great impression of her, served as model for the governor's body.
pointed to the McCain campaign site til sometime today.
Gibberish
Katie Couric had a joint interview with McCain and Palin. Here is some of the incoherent nonsense from the interview:
John McCain: Of course not. But, look, I understand this day and age of "gotcha" journalism. Is that a pizza place? In a conversation with someone who you didn't hear … the question very well, you don't know the context of the conversation, grab a phrase. Gov. Palin and I agree that you don't announce that you're going to attack another country …
Couric: Are you sorry you said it?
McCain: … and the fact …
Couric: Governor?
McCain: Wait a minute. Before you say, "is she sorry she said it," this was a "gotcha" sound bite that, look …
Couric: It wasn't a "gotcha." She was talking to a voter.
McCain: No, she was in a conversation with a group of people and talking back and forth. And … I'll let Gov. Palin speak for herself. ... Palin: Well, as Sen. McCain is suggesting here, also, never would our administration get out there and show our cards to terrorists, in this case, to enemies and let them know what the game plan was, not when that could ultimately adversely affect a plan to keep America secure.
Couric: What did you learn from that experience?
Palin: That this is all about "gotcha" journalism. A lot of it is. But that's okay, too.
"We're going have to raise import tariffs in order to protect American jobs and manufacturing."
WE'RE HOSED
House doesn't pass the bailout.
For the record, it seems like every single person in my office is opposed to this thing. I would be too, if I wouldn't keep running into stuff like this.
I'm too worried to oppose the bailout, as bad as it is.
DEBATE COMMENTARY
My laptop exploded last week and I haven't replaced it yet -- so no weekend blogging! Didja miss me?
Since we've had a few days to let the debate sink in, the conventional wisdom has started to form, and, not surprisingly, it's not good for McCain.
Look for the appearance of the following words in days to come: cranky, grumpy, crotchety, angry, mean, rude, sneering, snarling, contemptuous, off-putting, snide, boorish, and worst of all, not Presidential. SNL will probably drive the point home in a skit that will become the dominant narrative tonight, and McCain will become boxed in regarding his behavior in the second debate, much as Gore was unable to be as aggressive as he wanted in the second debate (I remember the running joke was that Gore had been medicated for the second debate). And if McCain does not tone down the contempt, it will simply feed the narrative. Or, if we are really lucky, as someone suggested in another thread, McCain will overcompensate and spend the entire time comically and creepily attempting to make eye contact with Obama (think Al Gore walking across the stage to stand next to Bush, and Bush looking at him as if to think “WTF are you doing?”).
This should be terrifying for the McCain campaign for two reasons. First, the base will not understand it. To them, a sneering, contemptuous jerk is a feature, not a bug. When they try to tone down McCain, it will turn off the diehards. Look at the reaction of the base to Palin’s RNC speech- they LOVED that she was, for all intents and purposes, nothing but an asshole the entire speech. They loved the “zingers” that were written for her. The rest of the country recoiled in horror, and Obama raised ten million the next 48 hours.
More to come as I catch up.
Friday, September 26, 2008
oops
Sept 16, 2008 -
Kissinger, speaking Monday at George Washington University along with four other former U.S. State Department secretaries, said the next president should initiate high-level discussions with Iran "without conditions," ABC News reported.
She’s a junkie-and a junkie of the worst kind: A junkie-snitch who turns in all the people who supply her habit and cover for her, and gets away with it because of her rich family connections.
Normally we here at eXiled Online would never stoop to outing a junkie. But the problem is, we all may be forced to look at this desiccated vampire’s face for the next eight years, watching this lowest form of junkie-snitch blissfully living life in a pillow-world of opiates, while her husband sends all of the less-fortunate junkies away to the federal rape-camps, merely for trying to feel as good as his wife does.
McCain is crawling into the corner with his blanket
I like Barbara Boxer:
McCain backs out of debate...
...with Bush, in California, in 2000.
McCain's campaign said the candidate confirmed to CNN on Thursday that he would not appear. But until yesterday afternoon, when rumors swirled about the pullout, McCain -- who has touted his ``straight talk'' politics -- gave no public indication that he intended to duck the nationally televised showdown.
The bait and switch on the debate left the Arizona senator -- whose favorite campaign line is ``I'll always tell you the truth'' -- wide open to blistering criticism from his rivals.
"That's why I say I, like every American I'm speaking with, were ill about this position that we have been put in. Where it is the taxpayers looking to bail out. But ultimately, what the bailout does is help those who are concerned about the health care reform that is needed to help shore up our economy. Um, helping, oh, it's got to be about job creation, too. Shoring up our economy, and getting it back on the right track. So health care reform and reducing taxes and reining in spending has got to accompany tax reductions, and tax relief for Americans, and trade -- we have got to see trade as opportunity, not as, uh, competitive, um, scary thing, but one in five jobs created in the trade sector today. We've got to look at that as more opportunity. All of those things under the umbrella of job creation." -Guess.
The Keating 5 explained in 90 seconds
What's the S&L failure bailout of $500 billion adjusted for inflation? The Westegg inflation calculator (here) says is $783 billion and change. I guess McCain really does have the experience needed to handle our current financial mess.
FIGHTIN' THURSDAY
Frank Mir is one of the coaches in the newest season of The Ultimate Fighter. Above is probably his most famous match, the fight against Tim Sylvia for the then vacant heavyweight title.
Listen carefully for referee Herb Dean's "Oh, SHIT! ...It's fuckin' broken."
The Washington Post takes it a bit farther to claim he is calling for the debates to be postponed.
I guess this is the first logical step toward Bush canceling the election so we can focus on the bailout.
UPDATE: Kos just added thestats I would have were I not so lazy.
Some fun facts about John McCain: Of all Senators, John McCain has been the most absent. There have been 643 votes taken in the current Senate session: McCain has missed 412 of them.
McCain has not voted in the Senate since April 8th. Since March, he has missed 109 of the last 110 votes.
He missed votes on the GI Bill, energy policy, and in 2007 he missed "all 15 critical environmental votes in the Senate" -- giving him a 2007 rating of 0% from the League of Conservation Voters. Zero percent? I don't think that's fair. I think they should have given him an "incomplete", and told him that he had to stay for summer session if he wants to graduate from the Senate.
McCain’s choice of Sarah Palin to be his vice-president is beginning to backfire. (Amidst all my errors, I’ll take credit for predicting this.) It seems to be a factor in the movement of women and college-educated voters--and of Democrats--back into the Obama column. Quinnipiac asked Colorado voters whom they would prefer as president, Palin or Democratic choice Joe Biden. Men chose Palin by 46 to 44 percent, while women chose Biden by 47 to 37 percent. Independents preferred Biden by 50 to 37 percent and Democrats--presumably including Hillary Clinton backers McCain wanted to attract--by 86 to 4 percent. 32 percent of Independents said the choice of Palin made them less likely to vote for McCain; only 13 percent said the choice of Biden made them less likely to vote for Obama.
The national polls have been swinging back and forth, but the state-level polls have been remarkably static.
More on polls -- and what to expect from the debates -- here.
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I am Ministry of the Treasury of the Republic of America. My country has had crisis that has caused the need for large transfer of funds of 800 billion dollars US. If you would assist me in this transfer, it would be most profitable to you.
I am working with Mr. Phil Gram, lobbyist for UBS, who will be my replacement as Ministry of the Treasury in January. As a Senator, you may know him as the leader of the American banking deregulation movement in the 1990s. This transactin is 100% safe.
This is a matter of great urgency. We need a blank check. We need the funds as quickly as possible. We cannot directly transfer these funds in the names of our close friends because we are constantly under surveillance. My family lawyer advised me that I should look for a reliable and trustworthy person who will act as a next of kin so the funds can be transferred.
Please reply with all of your bank account, IRA and college fund account numbers and those of your children and grandchildren to wallstreetbailout@treasury.gov so that we may transfer your commission for this transaction. After I receive that information, I will respond with detailed information about safeguards that will be used to protect the funds.
If I recall correctly, at some point during the September 11th attacks the networks stopped airing commercials. Not only did commercials seem necessarily jarring and misplaced in comparison with the news, I suspect the advertisers themselves didn't want their brands associated with buildings falling down and people running around screaming.
But not now. There's a massive disconnect as I watch discussions of the collapse of the American economy on the Sunday morning shows, which go to commercials, sometimes featuring companies in the industry that is the topic of discussion (Morgan Stanley, for example).
It feels wrong.
If we're headed into the Second Great Depression, maybe we could use the whole hour to talk about it?
The Alaska governor's introduction to the national stage has moved slowly -- two network interviews, no news conferences, no access for the reporters who travel with her. But her impact on the campaign trail has been immediate: bigger crowds, more women -- and more protests. ...
More often, she provides a folksy counterpart to McCain and has proved a magnet for female voters, who sometimes wave lipstick tubes, a reference to her off-the-cuff comment during her acceptance speech that the difference between a hockey mom and a pit bull is lipstick. "Read my lipstick" is a best-selling button at campaign events.
Palin regularly and seemingly deliberately rounds off words that end in "g" -- the economy is "hurtin' " and needs "fixin.' " After McCain answered a question the other night, she asked, "Can I add somethin'?"
If anything could make me want to stab myself in the heart per Elliott Smith, it's fucking this. Oh lordy fuck I hate her.
MORE MUST-READ
The Washington Post on the three individuals responsible for keeping us from falling into another depression.
It was a room full of people who rarely hold their tongues. But as the Fed chairman, Ben S. Bernanke, laid out the potentially devastating ramifications of the financial crisis before congressional leaders on Thursday night, there was a stunned silence at first.
Mr. Bernanke and Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. had made an urgent and unusual evening visit to Capitol Hill, and they were gathered around a conference table in the offices of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
“When you listened to him describe it you gulped," said Senator Charles E. Schumer, Democrat of New York.
As Senator Christopher J. Dodd, Democrat of Connecticut and chairman of the Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, put it, “There was a long pause in the room.”
Mr. Schumer added, “History was sort of hanging over it, like this was a moment.”
When Mr. Schumer described the meeting as “somber,” Mr. Dodd cut in. “Somber doesn’t begin to justy the words,” he said. “We have never heard language like this.”
Although Mr. Schumer, Mr. Dodd and other participants declined to repeat precisely what they were told by Mr. Bernanke and Mr. Paulson, they said the two men described the financial system as effectively bound in a knot that was being pulled tighter and tighter by the day.
“You have the credit lines in America, which are the lifeblood of the economy, frozen.” Mr. Schumer said. “That hasn’t happened before. It’s a brave new world. You are in uncharted territory, but the one thing you do know is you can’t leave them frozen or the economy will just head south at a rapid rate.”
As he spoke, Mr. Schumer swooped his hand, to make the gesture of a plummeting bird. “You know we’d be lucky ...” he said as his voice trailed off. “Well, I’ll leave it at that.”
And that, ladies and gentlemen, is why the New York Times is the newspaper of record.
QUAYL'ED
Jon Chait on Palin's declining fortunes and an eerie similarity to teh Potatoe:
In lieu of opening Palin to regular questioning from the press corps, of the sort the other three candidates have all undergone many times before, the McCain campaign is helpfully leaking positive appraisals of her studiousness. "Despite the worries, [Palin] struck many campaign officials as more calm and cerebral than expected," reported Newsweek. "She was quick to ask questions, and to 'engage in a back and forth' with briefers." See, the McCain campaign says she's on the ball. That settles it, right?
But, somewhere in the recesses of my mind, this admiring appraisal of the prospective veep's intellect struck a familiar chord. With a quick search, I discovered that, indeed, the same was said of Dan Quayle in 1988. Twenty years ago, The Washington Post reported, "Bush aides, who were getting their first in-depth exposure to Quayle, were impressed by his attention span, the quality of his questions and the facility with which he moved through the agenda."
PAINKILLER HAZE
Thursday, September 18, 2008
48 DAYS
It's going to be over before you know it.
And between then and now, there'll be like five or six massive swings in public opinion.
Obama's on the uptick now, but McCain will have his media cycles.
"I think it's a stretch to, in any way, to say that she's got the experience to be president of the United States," Hagel said.
McCain and other Republicans have defended Palin's qualifications, citing Alaska's proximity to Russia. Palin told ABC News, "They're our next-door neighbors and you can actually see Russia from land here in Alaska, from an island in Alaska."
Hagel took issue with that argument. "I think they ought to be just honest about it and stop the nonsense about, 'I look out my window and I see Russia and so therefore I know something about Russia,'" he said. "That kind of thing is insulting to the American people."
[Note to Salto bloggers: the time-stamp function seems to not be working on individual posts, and must be manually adjusted using the "Post Options" arrow]
"The Fed and the Treasury are very, very worried about the stability of the economy," Greenberger says. "They're worried about what this means to Main Street, about what it means to you and me. … In the absence of this rather dramatic move I think they believe that we would enter something much deeper, possibly, than a recession."
I mentioned in my last post that Lesnar's next fight is against Randy Couture. I guess I wasn't paying attention when I first learned about the match, because I've only just found out that it's a title fight.
What a joke. Lesnar has only fought in three professional matches. He's only fought in the UFC twice, and he lost one of those!
The UFC is paying a lot of money for the guy, so I guess they feel like this is how to maximize their investment. As Lesnar himself said:
A lot of people lose sight of the bottom line: this is a business. It’s about making dollars by selling tickets, Pay-Per-Views, and merchandise. It’s up to the promoter to decide what is televised. I just train hard, then get in the octagon and fight.
As I said last week, I think that Couture will likely lose to Lesnar. While Couture has good hands and submissions, his strength is his wrestling. He's fighting someone who is not only younger, bigger, and stronger, Lesnar's collegiate wrestling record was 106-5. He's strong enough and skilled enough to put Couture, and any other fighter, on his back and keep him there. It will take someone with better submissions that Randy Couture to win from that position.
Which brings us to Lesnar's next fight, the winner of the Frank Mir vs. Antônio Rodrigo Nogueira match. Both have the submission skills to beat Lesnar, as Mir has already shown. I'm not saying Lesnar couldn't win against either fighter, but it would be a boring fight. He'd most likely "lay and pray" his way to victory; he'll take down his opponent, control position on the ground, and stay just active enough to prevent the referee from standing the fighters back up. Repeat for five rounds and win on the judge's scorecards. The problem for Lesnar is that he'd have to be perfect. If he makes a mistake and gets in a bad position, the fight will be over, especially against Nogueira, whose submission skills are on a whole other fucking planet.
SCARY
The collapse of the economy dwarfs every other issue out there, including the election. It's not even close.
That there are scary issues out there obviously benefits Obama, but this is so gigantic that it might not make any difference who the next President is.
HALP!
Wednesday, September 17, 2008
AND NOW, WITH SPORTS...
First Dude First Dude First Dude First Dude First Dude
Andrew Brenner, co-head of structured products and emerging markets at MF Global, said: “It feels like no one wants to take anyone’s credit...it feels like we are on a precipice.”
Gerv, Smerch, and the K-man return with a truncated fifth series of their popular podcast. I'm gutted by the fact that there are only four episodes in this series. Just two hours of new material.
Karl shows a bit more spirit in this series, more like the early XFM days.
Fans will be pleased by the familiar shoddy production and inane banter. Topics include old classics like Karl's difficulty with the English language, his lack of even a basic grasp of evolution or science in general (even the LHC), homophobia, and bloaters.
And the New York Times reported Sunday that as governor, Palin appointed a high school classmate, Franci Havemeister, to a $95,000-a-year job as head of the State Division of Agriculture. Havemeister "cited her childhood love of cows as a qualification for running the roughly $2 million agency," the Times reported, noting her as one of at least five schoolmates to whom Palin has given high-paying jobs in state government.
White privilege is when you can call yourself a "fuckin' redneck," like Bristol Palin's boyfriend does, and talk about how if anyone messes with you, you'll "kick their fuckin' ass," and talk about how you like to "shoot shit" for fun, and still be viewed as a responsible, all-American boy (and a great son-in-law to be) rather than a thug.
White privilege is when you can attend four different colleges in six years like Sarah Palin did (one of which you basically failed out of, then returned to after making up some coursework at a community college), and no one questions your intelligence or commitment to achievement, whereas a person of color who did this would be viewed as unfit for college, and probably someone who only got in in the first place because of affirmative action.
White privilege is when you can claim that being mayor of a town smaller than most medium-sized colleges, and then Governor of a state with about the same number of people as the lower fifth of the island of Manhattan, makes you ready to potentially be president, and people don't all piss on themselves with laughter, while being a black U.S. Senator, two-term state Senator, and constitutional law scholar, means you're "untested."
White privilege is being able to say that you support the words "under God" in the pledge of allegiance because "if it was good enough for the founding fathers, it's good enough for me," and not be immediately disqualified from holding office--since, after all, the pledge was written in the late 1800s and the "under God" part wasn't added until the 1950s--while if you're black and believe in reading accused criminals and terrorists their rights (because the Constitution, which you used to teach at a prestigious law school, requires it), you are a dangerous and mushy liberal who isn't fit to safeguard American institutions.
This close to the election, let's discuss the big issues, shall we?
Palin revelations worse than you could have dreamt
FTFA:
Sarah Palin gave me a handgun and told me I had to kill them all. I love animals, and I didn't want to do it, but I was afraid she'd kill me if I didn't comply. I started with lions and bears, but my gun ran out of bullets.
Sarah's oldest son, Track, was addicted to the power drug OxyContin for nearly the past two years, snorting it, eating it, smoking it and even injecting it. And as Track, 19, heads to Iraq as part of the U.S. armed forces, Sarah and her husband Todd were powerless to stop his wild antics....
(How the hell would one smoke OxyContin? You can't smoke a ground up pill, can you?)
pre-prego Bristol was as much of a hard partier as Track was.
“Bristol was a huge stoner and drinker. I’ve seen her smoke pot and get drunk and make out with so many guys. All the guys would brag that the (sic) just made out with Bristol.”
Given his professional wrestling career, it's easy to dismiss Brock Lesnar's mixed martial arts career as a UFC publicity stunt. And you'd be mostly correct. But don't forget that he was actually an accomplished collegiate wrestler. He is also as big as all outdoors.
Did I mention that he's fucking large? With his size and wrestling skill, most of his fights will look like the fight against Heath Herring, above. He'll take down his opponent at will, control ground position, and keep punching until the bell rings.
His next fight is against Randy Couture. I hate to say it, but I think that Lesnar will ride out another punishing decision. He's just too goddamn big. Once they hit the ground, he'll nullify any skill or experience advantage that Couture might have.
Lesnar's losses will look like this:
Frank Mir is a damn good grappler, former UFC heavyweight champion, and one of the best color commentators in the sport. The second Lesnar stood up, I knew he was in trouble. He acted like he didn't even know he was threatened, and by the time he figured it out, the kneebar was cinched tight and he was tapping. He doesn't know how to defend against submissions, and any submission expert that can take the punishment will tap him out.
I can't wait for the inevitable match against Nogueria. He specializes in taking a godawful beating for most of the fight, and then capitalizing on the slightest mistake to win the match.
Don't worry, comrades. As Gary Hart says here (and you should really watch the whole thing; I think Hart's analysis is precisely right throughout, especially his advice to the Obama campaign), Palin's a media phenomenon, and those things fade. As the American people learn more about her, they're going to find out there's a lot not to like.
In the long term, Palin can't help McCain; she can only not hurt him. And I'm not sure that's particularly likely. She will fuck up on the trail, more than once, and possibly spectacularly.
She didn't sound like she had ever heard the phrase "Bush Doctrine" before, either, at least to prefer to preemptive action -- when asked "Do you agree with the Bush Doctrine?", she leaned back and retorted, "In what sense, Charlie?"
... "How would you interpret it [the Bush Doctrine]?" he went on.
She replied, "His worldview?"
I'm slobbering all over myself in anticipation of the next month.
ROVE
The Rove strategy is legendarily for a candidate to take their biggest weaknesses and run on them, lying if necessary, in an attempt to neuter* the issue and inoculate the candidate.
Sarah Palin's lies about the Bridge to Nowhere and her supposed rejection of earmarks is exactly this strategy. These issues destroy attempts to paint Palin as a reformer, or a maverick, and they must be pushed and pushed. The media was initially complicit in these Rovian efforts, but not anymore.
Q: What's the difference between a hockey mom and a pitbull? A: You can neuter a pitbull.
Craig Ferguson on the state of the election
Wednesday, September 10, 2008
MORE LIKE THIS
If you taunt him enough, Mt. St. McCain will blow. I like this start.
Republican presidential candidate John McCain cut short his first public appearance without running-mate Sarah Palin after chanting supporters of Democratic rival Barack Obama interrupted his speech.
After lunching with a roundtable of women at Philadelphia’s Down Home Diner, McCain shook hands with supporters and strode up to a podium to deliver a statement. But as he spoke, chants of “Obama, Obama, Obama” filled the room.
Reporters craned forward trying to hear the Arizona senator. Unfortunately for McCain — and possibly overlooked by aides who planned the event — a section of the diner opened up to a market where a crowd had gathered behind a cordon.
There's absolutely no reason why this jerkoff should be able to stroll around in public places without people expressing their rights to free speech, especially if that means a little humiliation.
NOTE: I officially claim authorship of the super-awesome neologism Mt. St. McCain (or Mount Saint McCain, for Google's sake).
our search for nude Sarah Palin pictures is still fruitless. We couldn't find any naked Sarah Palin Pictures here. no nude Sarah Palin Pictures here or even a single Sarah Palin Nipple Slip here.
McCain cites the reason for the MN bridge collapse last year...
...and it is Palin's Bridge to nowhere.
FTA:
"I think there is a long, long list of earmarks which went to unnecessary and unwanted projects that I think should have gone to the bridge in Minnesota," McCain said. "I don't know whether it would have gone or not, but if you're spending $223 million on a bridge in Alaska to an island with 50 people on it ..."
The New York Times article is here. This is obviously a momentous event -- I just wish I understood a little bit more about what we could find out and the implications.
Anyone know any decent pop-sci articles on this?
TODAY'S MEDIA REALIZATION
John McCain is a loathsome old fuck.
Watch the end of the world live here
The LHC is being turned on today. You can watch it here: Cern Webcast
Oops... as i watch it appears that they are on a replay loop, the first tests have been completed. I guess we have to wait until they have opened it up to full power for the rift to fully form. It also looks like they haven't started any collisions yet... just single beams and pulses. You should be able to reliably expect zombies and headcrabs by dinner.
Cracked has a fun article as well about the ways the Hadron Collider (can I say Hadron, or will that offend our new wingnut audience?) can kill us all.
So maybe Sarah Palin doesn't have all that much "experience." Maybe she doesn't pay much attention to your fancy-pants "foreign policy" or "domestic policy" or "policy." Maybe she's "crazy" and "corrupt" and was picked by a "vetting process" that consisted of "tossing darts at a phone book in the middle of an all-night Ambien-and-Ketamine binge." But maybe that's just because Sarah Palin's just too busy being a real American to hang around with your namby-pamby liberal candidates with their arugula lattes and their east coast Ivy League universities and their "qualifications" while they tax the Jesus Fetus to pay for gay Muslim healthcare! Well Sarah Palin understands that being vice-president takes more than just book-smarts or regular-smarts or knowing what a vice president does! It takes gumption and spunk and other made-up words that hearken back to another time - a realer time - a whiter time - back when men were men and women were men and great big hairy-chested frontiersmen of the plains wrestled oxen and caribou and the savage Injun Man in their mighty conquest of the West before succumbing to explosive amoebic dysentery! And with the help of God and millions of dollars in energy industry donations, Sarah Palin will give us that dysentery again!
As far as I can tell (and I'm good at this, trust me), there are no nude photos of Sarah Palin on the internets.
Which is to say that I don't have pictures of Sarah Palin naked or Sarah Palin nude, or even Sarah Palin semi-nude. For that matter, I don't have pictures of Sarah Palin with no clothes on or Sarah Palin undressed or Sarah Palin in a three-way with Barbara Bush (the elder) and the wizened corpse of Phyllis Schlafly. Let me be entirely clear: you will certainly not find nude pictures of Sarah Palin here, or Sarah Palin nude, for that matter. "But what about Sarah Palin in a low-cut skirt?" you ask, gently. I have no need to lie. You could scour this site for hours and find no pictures of Sarah Palin nude, or Sarah Palin in a mild state of disheveled undress, or even Sarah Palin giving someone a smoky look. Nothing like that around here. Nada. Zip.
Yeah. No nude or naked Sarah Palin. Nothing even remotely like that at this establishment, mister. You want to see Sarah Palin nude, you weirdo? Go somewhere else. Because you will not see nude photos (or, in any other format! like, um, .jpg, or .gif, or .bmp, etc.) of Sarah Palin here, with her VPILFy awesomeness all hangin' out, sexin' you up through the monitor, even though you're seriously desperate for a little Palin luvvin.
And I'm clearly not like these people, or these people, who are just google hit-whoring. Not at all.
Tom Brokaw is a turd. He breathes funny, buys bullshit right-wing talking points, and asks the wrong questions.
Brian Williams is the Guy and that means he can only rarely say what he thinks.
MSNBC's convention coverage garnered great ratings.
And this should be seen in the context of this, which I'm eagerly looking forward to. You win some, you lose some, and MSNBC is bracing itself for an even bigger GOP-led shitstorm when it realizes that Olbermann and Maddow are markedly smarter and more entertaining than anyone else on the teevee around that time, even though they're only mildly progressive.
CONSERVATIVES GONE CRAZY
It's too bad about Ross Douthat, a young conservative who I liked reading: the Palin pick and his outrage about what he perceives as the mean anti-Palin media have turned him into a SCARY ABORTION WARRIOR!
If I'm reading this right, about 89% of Republicans approve of the Palin pick, but only 74% believe she's prepared to be president. This means that 15% of Republicans approve of their nominee choosing a running mate who's unprepared to succeed him if necessary. Analysis is left as an exercise for the reader.
Most people had never heard of Sarah Palin when she was named Republican VP nominee. But I’d been hearing her name all too often, because I belong to a group called Defenders of Wildlife–and in her time as governor of Alaska, Palin has used her position as governor of Alaska to ruin the Alaskan wilderness in every way she could.
Her most recent “victory” came on August 26 when Alaska’s voters defeated Measure 2, an initiative that would have banned hunting wolves from airplanes for sport.
Palin organized a campaign against Measure 2, and funded it with $400,000 of state money. For most of us, the idea of zooming around in a private airplane over snowbound wilderness just for the chance to spot a terrified wild dog and blow it apart with a high-powered rifle is insane. But there’s a whole culture out there in love with the idea. Palin did her part by playing the tired old Alaskan pioneer card, saying that lower-48 naysayers who dared to object to the idea of divebombing wildlife didn’t “understand rural Alaska.”
Alaska isn’t really very hard to understand. It consists of a minority that loves the wilderness and an overwhelmingly Republican majority that wants to squeeze all the cash it can get out of the state before the oil dries up, the fish die out, and the wildlife disappears. Nowhere else does the Republican formula of manipulating the suckers by playing on their silly hatreds and even sillier vanities play out more clearly than in Alaska.
... Perhaps the saddest aspect of Palin’s disgusting record on environmental issues is the fact that it’s hardly even being mentioned in the debate about her nomination. Most of the focus, for an audience of suckers weaned on celebrity gossip, seems to be about her mothering skills, her daughter’s pregnancy, and whether she was Miss Congeniality or just a runner-up in some beauty pageant. The fact that she makes her living helping to wipe out whole species, poison productive watersheds, and play to the stupidest great-white-hunter fantasies of her constituency hardly even seems worth a mention.
[Welcome to new readers. There's tons of Palinalia to either vex or delight you on Salto. Click here for the main page.]
God made dinosaurs 4,000 years ago as ultimately flawed creatures, lizards of Satan really, so when they died and became petroleum products we, made in his perfect image, could use them in our pickup trucks, snow machines and fishing boats. Now, as to the ANWR, Todd and I often enjoying caribou hunting and one year we shot up a herd big time, I mean I personally slaughtered around 40 of them with my new, at the time, custom Austrian hunting rifle. And guess what? That caribou herd is still around and even bigger than ever. Caribou herds actually need culling, be it by rifles or wolves, or Exxon-Mobil oil rigs, they do just great!
*not actual
Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
The reason we look down our noses at you stupid hillbillies is because this shit works on you:
What struck me as I watched the convention speeches, however, is how much of the anger on the right is based not on the claim that Democrats have done bad things, but on the perception — generally based on no evidence whatsoever — that Democrats look down their noses at regular people.
Thus Mr. Giuliani asserted that Wasilla, Alaska, isn’t “flashy enough” for Mr. Obama, who never said any such thing. And Ms. Palin asserted that Democrats “look down” on small-town mayors — again, without any evidence.
What the G.O.P. is selling, in other words, is the pure politics of resentment; you’re supposed to vote Republican to stick it to an elite that thinks it’s better than you.
McCain just can't give a damn speech. The little double fist-pump he did at the end was absolutely Nixonian. Commentary:
By the end of the night, the Republicans seemed like they’d come full circle: down with Obama, up with Palin, then down again with McCain. Or, in the vocabulary of conventions: Palin stepped on Obama’s bounce, then McCain stepped on Palin’s.
However, I could watch John McCain speak endlessly. It's a beautiful thing.
ON NOT WATCHING
So, again, I tried to watch Palin's speech last night. Given the all-Palin, all-the-time Salto, it seemed like I should. And I lasted longer! Maybe three minutes.
When I watch Republicans, I see political calculation, playing to people's worst instincts. It's intolerable.
When I watch Democrats, I see political calculation, but more often than not it appears that they're playing to people's best instincts. It's inspirational.
When I see Giuliani, with a vampiric grin*, looming over Palin's family as she introduces them from the podium, I see exploitation. Desperate vultures circling struggling roadkill.
When I see Michelle Obama bring her two ultra-cute little girls to talk to Barack on the big screen, I also see exploitation, but I think, "that's going to be effective. Good for them."
I see good guys and bad guys. I can't help it.
* Great line: "[Giuliani has] come to look like a villain in a Frank Capra movie, hasn't he?"
PUSHBACK
It's nice to see a little pushback from the media. I won't hold my breath waiting for it to happen again.
"I wrote the other day that a Palin spokeswoman said trips to Germany, Kuwait and Ireland made up her foreign travel.
Two details worth clarifying:
The Ireland trip was a refueling stop on her trip to military installations in Germany and Kuwait, spokeswoman Maria Comella said.
And she's also visited Canada, another spokesman, Ben Porritt, says.
THE WISDOM OF MARKETS
Watch the intrade market on "Palin.VP.Withdrawn." Price at 10:57am PST: 13.8:
UPDATE: Price at 4:22pm PST: 17.1:
ANOTHER UPDATE: It's the next day, it's less than four hours before her big speech and the price is still a fairly substantial 14.2 at 3:14pm PST. Surprising.
ANOTHER THOUGHT
It's a little perplexing how the Palin pick is considered evidence of McCain's awesome maverickitude when, in fact, he discarded his preferred Ridge or Lieberman picks at the direction of the Christianist right (or, "agents of intolerance," in the old douchebag's own words).
FOR MONSTER
(Monster loves Cindy McCain.)
IMPLODING CAMPAIGN
According to Marc Ambinder (and pointed out here):
There are senior-level advisers in the campaign who opposed the pick and who are leaking details about the vetting process to undercut the pick.
PEGGY NOONAN: "IT'S OVER."
Let this transcript of an off-air conversation serve as a reality check.
THINGS TO WATCH
1. The GOP's frenzied attempts to push back against the press -- and to characterize criticism of Palin as exclusively related to her gender and to family issues -- is timed carefully and intended to blunt the second wave of criticism that exists on real issues, like the Bridge to Nowhere, the family's cozy relationship with the explictly anti-US Alaska secessionist party, earmarks, creationism, book-banning, etc.
But if it doesn't come out now, won't it come out later? Maybe after the glow has faded from Palin's speech tonight?
2. On Palin's speech, she's playing pure defense tonight. Remember Biden chewing on McCain's ass during his speech? Ain't gonna happen. She has not yet reached the threshold where people are comfortable with her as the successor to the President, and this speech must address that issue, and pretty much that issue alone. Which is not to say that she may not succeed. It's really not that difficult to give a decent speech. It just can't be the aggressive anti-Dem speech you might see from a more qualified candidate.
There's a reasonable argument that the Murdoch-owned Sun tabloid's support of Tony Blair led to his election in 1996.
Tuesday, September 02, 2008
WATCHING THE GOP
Shots of the animated corpse that is Barbara Bush cause my balls to frantically swim north.
UPDATE: I couldn't watch without feeling ill for about two minutes, but I did manage to ensure a few seconds of Lieberman. God, I'm so glad he's on their side. Is there a single American politician as fucking annoying to listen to as he is?
Q: I was just talking to someone who claimed to have knowledge of Alaska to some degree, and they say where Sarah Palin comes from it's the equivalent of Humboldt or Chico in California, like, of course, you know, she'd have a Girls Gone Wild phase, and smoking pot. Is this just wishcasting, or what can you tell us about her geographical background?
A: So the Mat-Su Valley, you know, Matanuska-Susitna Valley, otherwise known as Upper Wingnuttia, is full of right-wing libertarian militia fundamendalist Christian gun-toting, pot-growing dope-heads.
Q: Awesome.
A: Yeah. If Jerry Falwell rolled his own, you would have the Mat-Su Valley. I live in South Anchorage, and my raspberry plants, courtesy of 22 hours of daylight in the summer, grow eight and a half foot high. That's a raspberry bush. Can you imagine what a single pot plant would turn into? [...]
Charlie Cook, the great political analyst, passed this along today: He spoke with someone who described going through three interviews before getting a job at Ruby Tuesday’s. If you generously construe the record, that’s one more discussion than McCain had with Palin. Maybe Ruby Tuesday’s should have done McCain’s vetting for him.
FACTS ARE FRIGHTENING THINGS
When Barack Obama declared his candidacy for President of the United States in February 2007, Sarah Palin, former mayor of a town of 6,500, had been Governor of Alaska for ...
Definitely the sort of screening you'd want for someone a heartbeat away from the control of twenty thousand nuclear warheads:
According to this Republican, who would discuss internal campaign strategizing only on condition of anonymity, the McCain team used little more than a Google Internet search as part of a rushed effort to review Palin's potential pitfalls. Just over a week ago, Palin was not on McCain's short list of potential running mates, the Republican said.
MAY YOU LIVE IN INTERESTING TIMES
Snark aside, the Palin pick is probably the second-most interesting thing to happen in politics in the last five or ten years, with the Obama phenomenon ranking slightly higher.
But because Obama's rise sort of unfolded slowly before our eyes, in leaps and starts, it doesn't hold a candle to the sheer immediate weirdness of Palin and what her pick means.
If you're interested, I recommend these Bloggingheads discussions for more serious musings about everything Palin: see here and (somewhat less so) here.
Things are looking up for John McCain. Last week ended with a bang with the announcement of his fresh-faced new running mate Sarah Palin, who should provide McCain many more years of extended existence through gradual consumption of her life force, and, if needed, a new host body should his current vessel fail him.
Monday, September 01, 2008
PALIN NOMINATION
WE MUSE WHILE WE GAPE IN DISBELIEF
Anyone named "Bristol" is probably doomed to a teenage pregnancy regardless of who her mother is.
Sen. John McCain knew. A few members of his senior staff knew. Most members of his senior staff did not know. Palin's spokesman in Alaska did not know. Palin's campaign-appointed spokesman did not know. McCain staffers -- at different levels of the campaign -- are a bit stunned.
Reporters at the Republican national convention hammered McCain senior adviser Steve Schmidt about the Palin pregnancy during a press conference. All Schmidt would say is Palin and McCain had discussed the pregnancy and considered it to be a private matter.
He wouldn't say if they talked about it before McCain picked Palin as his vice presidential nominee.
Now I know people might be doing some tut-tutting about Bristol being only 17 and not married yet, but all I have to say to that is why do you have to be such negative nancies?! She's got her loving family to help out (note to self: check up on daycare options at vice presidence house), and PLUS doesn't everyone say it's best to get get started early? I mean just THINK about it! If I had FIVE kids after starting at age 25, who KNOWS how many she'll have with an 8 year head start on me! I'm giddy just thinking about it!